Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 13.975134 16.278993 18.788709 21.718516 25.037292 28.672291 32.947032
2025-07-20 10.690034 13.981990 17.928283 22.970857 29.202526 36.608103 46.027114
2025-07-27 8.535594 12.246716 17.043541 23.613615 32.280978 43.216199 57.930656
2025-08-03 6.930046 10.770718 16.064427 23.748709 34.444364 48.606097 68.534845
2025-08-10 5.596434 9.362925 14.867283 23.284021 35.566097 52.524869 77.324106
2025-08-17 4.555142 8.167879 13.743182 22.684868 36.302251 55.821572 85.349051
2025-08-24 3.724456 7.138418 12.687146 21.993153 36.736472 58.605238 92.717610
2025-08-31 3.010155 6.164319 11.558884 21.007547 36.554465 60.375327 98.619248
2025-09-07 2.672050 5.789898 11.357000 21.467356 38.630872 65.634881 110.014118
2025-09-14 2.372343 5.430900 11.123725 21.825671 40.537415 70.717055 121.404688
2025-09-21 2.024283 4.911658 10.525153 21.462857 41.175213 73.782812 129.765772
2025-09-28 1.705104 4.390075 9.844915 20.860709 41.317849 76.007190 136.853902
2025-10-05 1.607174 4.355488 10.153348 22.222205 45.205997 84.993469 156.031663
2025-10-12 1.482956 4.244392 10.306429 23.331754 48.792905 93.817134 175.679452
2025-10-19 1.330690 4.033907 10.219600 23.952917 51.524603 101.346905 193.611510
2025-10-26 1.162750 3.744865 9.914897 24.084298 53.319503 107.321101 209.196783
2025-11-02 0.980874 3.373145 9.360911 23.612965 53.874207 111.064889 221.048623
2025-11-09 0.820459 3.017834 8.782792 23.006291 54.079849 114.145955 231.854318
2025-11-16 0.681349 2.685380 8.200274 22.306026 54.007467 116.666515 241.743616
2025-11-23 0.552359 2.344296 7.531306 21.308210 53.192748 117.673091 248.838214
2025-11-30 0.499634 2.241719 7.477292 21.773721 55.575458 125.074645 268.382916
2025-12-07 0.449251 2.132769 7.387062 22.136468 57.755181 132.194587 287.748362
2025-12-14 0.382562 1.941673 7.027631 21.769167 58.246476 135.915939 300.700557